• By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Transfer Debate

    Posted on July 3rd, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Liverpool FC Transfer Analysis, 1992-2015

    Liverpool FC Transfer Analysis, 1992-2015

    By Paul Tomkins. All next week, in a daily series for TTT subscribers only, I shall be analysing the buying and selling of Graeme Souness, Roy Evans, Gérard Houllier and Rafa Benítez, before finally taking a detailed look at the record of the club since the summer of 2010 under three different managers, two sets [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Subscribers Only, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on June 26th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Roberto Firmino – Much Cheaper Than You Think

    Roberto Firmino – Much Cheaper Than You Think

    By Paul Tomkins. Transfer prices increase all the time, not least when Sky suddenly pump billions more into the game (which viewers then have to stump up for). The idea that Roberto Firmino is Liverpool’s 2nd-most expensive player ever, whilst technically true, ignores the massive impact of inflation. When inflation is taken into account, he [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate

    Posted on June 24th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Firmino, Sterling and Transfer Strategies

    Firmino, Sterling and Transfer Strategies

    By Paul Tomkins. Roberto Firmino, currently shining for Brazil at the Copa America, becomes the first “wow” signing of Liverpool’s summer, although his arrival completes a hand of five highly disparate June deals. He joins James Milner in arriving as an established international, but obviously cost a fairly high fee, whereas Milner was a free [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Site News, Subscribers Only

    Posted on June 16th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Who Needs TTT in 2015?

    Who Needs TTT in 2015?

    By Paul Tomkins. Some weeks ago I shared a story that bears repeating: studies were made of people who were crammed on overcrowded and dangerous refugee ships looking to dock in countries that wouldn’t necessarily take them; the aim of the study being to see how they coped. The conclusion was that those refugees stood [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free

    Posted on June 12th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Sensible Summer or a Red Revolution?

    Sensible Summer or a Red Revolution?

    By Paul Tomkins. So far it seems like a sensible summer at Liverpool Football Club, at a time when a lot of fans seem more interested in revolution. Despite Brendan Rodgers retaining his job, there’s still an element of the night of the long knives about the events so far, with backroom sackings and other [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on June 9th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Killing the Myth of Buying Prior PL Experience

    Killing the Myth of Buying Prior PL Experience

    Paul Tomkins. With Liverpool having just signed James Milner and Danny Ings on free transfers (the latter with some kind of compensation due to Burnley), a few perennial questions arise, the first of which is: are free transfers the value for money that they’re cracked up to be? Next: do British players actually “understand” our [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Subscribers Only

    Posted on June 8th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Last Day To Order New LFC Anthology

    Last Day To Order New LFC Anthology

    By Paul Tomkins. Today is the final day for subscribers to pre-order the exclusive printed version of “XI: Eleven Years of Analysis & Hair-loss Following Liverpool FC”, as the book goes to print tomorrow. I am only printing as many copies as people pre-order. This offer is only available to TTT subscribers – the only [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free

    Posted on June 4th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Is it the Right Decision to Keep Rodgers?

    Is it the Right Decision to Keep Rodgers?

    By Paul Tomkins. So, it seems that Brendan Rodgers gets to fight another day in the Liverpool dugout. I have no idea whether or not retaining his services is the right decision – I’m not a psychic – but I’m also pretty certain that it’s not the end of the world. On the one hand [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Liverpool FC - Books

    Posted on May 28th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    New Liverpool FC Book by Paul Tomkins

    New Liverpool FC Book by Paul Tomkins

    By Paul Tomkins   2015 will be a big year for TTT, as we seek to revamp the site to improve what needs improving on the technical side, and further strengthen what’s working in general. We want to add new features, implement improved commenting options and do a whole host of stuff, whilst retaining the [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Statistical Analysis, Subscribers Only

    Posted on May 26th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    EXCLUSIVE: Proof that Cups Harm League Form

    EXCLUSIVE: Proof that Cups Harm League Form

    By Paul Tomkins. This article is initially for TTT subscribers only, but a version will be made free to read at a later date. For years now I’ve been arguing that cup football can damage a team’s league health, although it was based more on empirical evidence, and a hunch, than anything more concrete. But [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free

    Posted on May 24th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    A Clusterfuck of a Campaign

    A Clusterfuck of a Campaign

    Paul Tomkins. I hate hyperbole. People have said that several performances this season – and particularly of late – have been “disgusting”, and various other emotive terms that I’ve felt were excessive. But the first half at Stoke was as sobering as anything I’ve seen. And by sobering I mean hideously embarrassing. Five-nil down for [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate

    Posted on May 24th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Pounds, Sterling and Dunces

    Pounds, Sterling and Dunces

    By Paul Tomkins. Raheem Sterling’s agent, Aidy Ward, is doing his level best to take the spotlight off the performance of anyone else connected to the club, bar his client. So in some ways a few people at Liverpool might welcome the distraction, even if it is in many ways somewhat unpalatable. I have some [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Free, Player In Focus, Subscribers Only

    Posted on May 18th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Steven Gerrard: The Best of An Era

    Steven Gerrard: The Best of An Era

    By Paul Tomkins. This is a greatly expanded version of a short article written for The Independent on Sunday. I was in what was my usual seat in Anfield’s Lower Centenary stand 17 years ago when Steven Gerrard made his debut as a late substitute. I don’t recall thinking much about it at the time, [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis

    Posted on May 10th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Fuckwits II – The Return of the Fuckwits

    Fuckwits II – The Return of the Fuckwits

    By Paul Tomkins. Well, “Listen Up, Fuckwits” certainly put the rabid cats amongst the perfervid pigeons; feathers and fur everywhere, and a fair dose of faecal matter. It’s interesting that I only used the term fuckwits for people flying planes and creating nasty and personal “Rodgers Out” Twitter accounts (which tastelessly mock and insult him), [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis

    Posted on May 4th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Listen Up, Fuckwits

    Listen Up, Fuckwits

    By Paul Tomkins. Okay, so have I got your attention? Moaning about football fans on Twitter is often as pointless and interesting as moaning about the British weather. But every now and then I try to step outside of the oasis of calm that this website’s subscribers provide and see how the general LFC populous [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis, Transfer Debate

    Posted on April 30th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    This Is What Will Happen This Summer!

    This Is What Will Happen This Summer!

    By Paul Tomkins. Based on the law of averages, you will find that certain things happen more or less every summer, both in terms of transfers and squad evolution. And not all of them are good. While certain elements remain unpredictable, this very unpredictability is, in many ways, totally predictable. Mass clear-outs always seem like [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Subscribers Only

    Posted on April 19th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Warning: Season Ends Here

    Warning: Season Ends Here

    By Paul Tomkins. I’ve defended Brendan Rodgers all season, and believe that, as things stand, a 2nd-place finish followed by 5th with two cup semi-finals reached is actually above par for Liverpool, based on all the important financial measurements (which are a better judge than a club’s history). However, certain aspects of this season have [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, In-Depth Analysis, Subscribers Only

    Posted on April 17th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    What Can Liverpool Do To Overachieve?

    What Can Liverpool Do To Overachieve?

    By Paul Tomkins. Last week I wrote two articles about the challenges Liverpool face, and the apparent catch-22 of a team that ranks 5th in all the important financial measures struggling to gain a long-term foothold in the top four, which financially rewards the existing top four and adds to their cachet when attracting players. [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free

    Posted on April 6th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    We’re All Gonna Live Forever!

    We’re All Gonna Live Forever!

    By Paul Tomkins. Last night’s piece, “We’re All Gonna Die!” provoked a lot of debate, much of which took place on Twitter. There were a lot of interesting comments, plus the usual complaints. (And of course, the usual excellent discussions in the comments on this site.) I figured it’d be easier to write a (fairly) [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis

    Posted on April 5th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    We’re All Gonna Die!

    We’re All Gonna Die!

    By Paul Tomkins. In order to let in some light, let’s first study the darkness. The one thing that’s undeniably definite in life is also the thing we most stridently ignore: death. We distort reality in order to avoid facing that grim conclusion; facing our grim conclusion. We tell each other that life should be [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis

    Posted on April 3rd, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    What Wins League Titles? Here is the Answer

    What Wins League Titles? Here is the Answer

    By Paul Tomkins. Note: this was originally a draft version of the Introduction for the follow-up to Pay As You Play. In the end, due to other commitments, we’ve shelved the project, and will use the 2015 content for TTT and the TPI blog instead, and maybe look to do a book at some point [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Subscribers Only

    Posted on April 1st, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    The LFC Team That Would Have Won the Title

    The LFC Team That Would Have Won the Title

    By Paul Tomkins. Last weekend’s charity game, while essentially meaningless in sporting terms, provided a fascinating glimpse into what might have been. The beauty of ‘what might have beens’ is that you can never disprove your belief; the downside is that you can never prove them to be true, either. My sense is that between [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Subscribers Only

    Posted on March 23rd, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Great Players, Big Problems

    Great Players, Big Problems

    By Paul Tomkins Having recently written that Liverpool’s future looks very bright, I feel it’s important to not overreact to what is always a galling defeat when it happens. A calm head seems especially necessary after 10 wins and three draws in the previous 13 league games. Once you’ve gone on a 13-game unbeaten run [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis

    Posted on March 23rd, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Better to be a Drogba than an Owen?

    Better to be a Drogba than an Owen?

    By Paul Tomkins and Robert Radburn. The following is something I wrote with my long-time collaborator Robert Radburn (we co-authored a ZX Spectrum game together while at school, but please don’t tell anybody). It takes my recent work on the scoring rates of strikers and expands it, with the addition of various interactive Tableau infographics. [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Subscribers Only

    Posted on March 17th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Can Liverpool Usurp Man City?

    Can Liverpool Usurp Man City?

    By Paul Tomkins Another away clean sheet, and another victory. The manager – a fraud, apparently – who couldn’t organise a defence has equalled the club record for the consecutive away clean sheets, and the goal was scored by the player who can’t run properly, and who was never going to be good enough. The [...]

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