• By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate

    Posted on May 24th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Pounds, Sterling and Dunces

    Pounds, Sterling and Dunces

    By Paul Tomkins. Raheem Sterling’s agent, Aidy Ward, is doing his level best to take the spotlight off the performance of anyone else connected to the club, bar his client. So in some ways a few people at Liverpool might welcome the distraction, even if it is in many ways somewhat unpalatable. I have some [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis, Transfer Debate

    Posted on April 30th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    This Is What Will Happen This Summer!

    This Is What Will Happen This Summer!

    By Paul Tomkins. Based on the law of averages, you will find that certain things happen more or less every summer, both in terms of transfers and squad evolution. And not all of them are good. While certain elements remain unpredictable, this very unpredictability is, in many ways, totally predictable. Mass clear-outs always seem like [...]

  • Featured, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on February 3rd, 2015

    Written by Graeme Riley

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    What a Waste of Money!

    What a Waste of Money!

    By Graeme Riley. TPI – reviewing squad waste It has long been established since the publication of Pay As You Play that there is a fairly strong correlation between league position and the value of squad (Sq£) and average cost of the starting eleven (£XI), after TPI inflation is applied. The corollary to this is [...]

  • Featured, Free, FSG, In-Depth Analysis, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on February 2nd, 2015

    Written by Daniel Rhodes

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    The Transfer Price Index Podcast – Part Three

    The Transfer Price Index Podcast – Part Three

    Asking the questions: Bob Pearce and Daniel Rhodes. Guests: Paul Tomkins, Dan Kennett and Graeme Riley. Topics: Competitive balance, and how the league is being squeezed; the Premier League is not the “most competitive league in the world”; breaking up the oligopoly; how much of the total spending comes from the top eight teams in the league; the [...]

  • Featured, Subscribers Only, Talking Point, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on January 26th, 2015

    Written by Bob

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    Footballers, Hotel Rooms and Prostitutes

    Footballers, Hotel Rooms and Prostitutes

    By Bob Pearce. Footballers, Hotel Rooms and Prostitutes. They are inseparable. They are also inconsistent, intangible and perishable. Just like in the movies sometimes, I’m starting around the middle somewhere to grab your attention. Alternative title 1 ‘Tomkins’ Law explained’ We talk about transfers as though we can know what we are getting for our [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on January 19th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    How Do You Overcome the Transfer Odds?

    How Do You Overcome the Transfer Odds?

    By Paul Tomkins. Last week’s defence of FSG’s transfer policy garnered some great feedback, although, for those who only read the headline, let me make something clear: it wasn’t written to praise the approach. It was a defence from an ‘attack’ (albeit what I saw as a misguided attack rather than anything sinister), and not [...]

  • Featured, Free, Podcast, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on January 14th, 2015

    Written by Daniel Rhodes

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    The Transfer Price Index Podcast – Part Two

    The Transfer Price Index Podcast – Part Two

    Asking the questions: Bob Pearce and Daniel Rhodes Guests: Paul Tomkins, Dan Kennett and Graeme Riley Topics: a review of the previous episode; Premier League compound inflation; analysing various transfer myths, including the idea that spending vast amounts of individual transfer fees guarantees success. The TPI Coeffcient and what it tells us about the best [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, In-Depth Analysis, Transfer Debate

    Posted on January 10th, 2015

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    In Defence of FSG’s Transfer Policy

    In Defence of FSG’s Transfer Policy

    By Paul Tomkins. This article on the This Is Anfield website was brought to my attention (by, amongst other people, its author, Mark Pearson, via Twitter), and I wanted to respond, as I took exception to some of the points raised. I told Mark that I’d respond via an article, and he may respond in [...]

  • Featured, Statistical Analysis, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on January 7th, 2015

    Written by Krishaldo

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    Who We Can Sign In January – By The Numbers

    Who We Can Sign In January – By The Numbers

    by Krishen Bhautoo (TTT Subscriber Krishaldo). It’s been a funny season. As fans, we approached the 14/15 season with tremendous optimism. The kind of bullishness that a team that had come some close to winning the title can be afforded. On an individual level, all our signings looked good. On paper, and by reputation, some [...]

  • Featured, Podcast, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on January 3rd, 2015

    Written by Daniel Rhodes

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    Podcast Special: The Transfer Price Index – Part One

    Podcast Special: The Transfer Price Index – Part One

    Asking questions: Bob Pearce and Daniel Rhodes Guests: Paul Tomkins, Dan Kennett and Graeme Riley Topics: A snappier title? The beginning of the Transfer Price Index (TPI). Inflation and how it relates to football transfers. The average price of a transfer in the Premier League, using TPI. The Current Transfer Purchase Price and how it [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on November 20th, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    A Decade of Big-Club Transfer Spending

    A Decade of Big-Club Transfer Spending

    By Paul Tomkins. The lack of sophistication and in-depth thought in most transfer assessments drives me to distraction. As I’ve noted before, I’m not a student of the tactics of the game, and I don’t write match reports or do transfer gossip. What I have done for the past half a decade (and for a [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on August 29th, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Brits or Foreigners: Who Are Better Buys?

    Brits or Foreigners: Who Are Better Buys?

    By Paul Tomkins. A couple of years ago, with the aid of Graeme Riley’s immense database, I devised the Transfer Price Index Coefficient (TPIC), as a means of measuring transfer success rates. Our work together with TPI – which converts all transfer fees to “current day money” with an index-based inflation model – led to [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate

    Posted on August 22nd, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Balotelli: A Bold Move, Or Virtual Insanity?

    Balotelli: A Bold Move, Or Virtual Insanity?

    By Paul Tomkins. Wow, I genuinely didn’t see this coming. The first word I associate with Mario Balotelli is bargepole. As in, don’t go near him with one. That said, £16m for his talent is a steal. But why are AC Milan letting him go quite so cheaply? Once penalties are excluded he has a [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate

    Posted on July 30th, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Are Liverpool Buying Wisely?

    Are Liverpool Buying Wisely?

    By Paul Tomkins. A lot has been made of Liverpool signing unremarkable players from unremarkable clubs this summer, having sold their most remarkable player to the world’s most remarkable club (of recent years). There’s no doubt that Liverpool’s squad is stronger (on paper), but is the first XI? Buying exceptional players also improves the squad, [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on July 21st, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    No Player is Ever the Same Twice

    No Player is Ever the Same Twice

    By Paul Tomkins. “No man ever steps in the same river twice, for it is not the same river and he is not the same man.”   Heraclitus Or, no player, once placed into a different team, is ever the same player again. He is merely a different version of what he was; surrounded now [...]

  • Featured, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on July 13th, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Luis Suarez Is An Animal

    Luis Suarez Is An Animal

    By Paul Tomkins. Whether or not you think Luis Suarez was Liverpool’s best ever player, he was clearly up there. Uncontrovertibly, he was, without doubt, the club’s most controversial. He could start fights in an empty press room. Longevity – doing it for eight or nine years rather than three – was perhaps the one [...]

  • Featured, Interactive, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on July 11th, 2014

    Written by Daniel Rhodes

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    Potential Strikers for Liverpool? Who is Out There?

    Potential Strikers for Liverpool? Who is Out There?

    By Paul Tomkins and Daniel Rhodes. At TTT Towers we’ve got together to come up with a list of potential striker targets, given that Luis Suarez is on his way out, Alexis Sanchez has chosen Arsenal, and neither Iago Aspas nor Fabio Borini certain of a future on Merseyside. Subscribers can view the obligatory YouTube [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate

    Posted on July 1st, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Suarez Sale? A Blessing and a Curse

    Suarez Sale? A Blessing and a Curse

    By Paul Tomkins. The one thing we’re quick to forget is that the future of football is never written in stone. I too am not immune from using precedents as some kind of proof of future success. You can find handy guides,  it is true, but no-one is ever correct in predicting what will happen [...]

  • Featured, Subscribers Only, Talking Point, Transfer Debate

    Posted on June 30th, 2014

    Written by Chris Rowland

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    Transfers – Cost v Worth

    Transfers – Cost v Worth

    By TTT Subscriber Ben Feltham. It all started with an innocuous line on a forum thread: “I’d take Lallana for 15m, but no way 25m”. There it was, writ large in less than ten words, everything that depresses me about this new notion of football support. As much as one can lose it on an [...]

  • Featured, Free, Talking Point, Transfer Debate

    Posted on March 7th, 2014

    Written by Chris Rowland

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    Scouting For Success

    Scouting For Success

    By Paul Grech. For all that is written about the subject every time a transfer window rolls by, very little is known on how Liverpool’s scouting network is set up.  Occasionally we get glimpses from interviews but in truth a lot of fans’ knowledge about the men who recommend players to Brendan Rodgers is very [...]

  • Featured, Subscribers Only, Talking Point, Transfer Debate

    Posted on January 31st, 2014

    Written by Chris Rowland

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    Is There Any Value in the Jan. Transfer Window?

    Is There Any Value in the Jan. Transfer Window?

    By Finin Martin. “The January transfer market has never been the best market and that has proved itself over the years.” Sir Alex Ferguson, December 2012. When FIFA brought in the two window system as compulsory in the 2002-2003 season, they could not have foreseen the negative impact it would have on Premier League fans. [...]

  • Exclusive, Featured, In-Depth Analysis, Statistical Analysis, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on January 28th, 2014

    Written by Daniel Rhodes

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    Shopping for Right-Backs (and a Midfield Bonus)

    Shopping for Right-Backs (and a Midfield Bonus)

    By Ted Knutson (Editor of Stats Bomb). This was going to be a search for left-backs, but after thinking about it, I kind of decided that Flani Alves might just be the future for Liverpool. He’s still a little raw, but the talent is definitely there, and it wouldn’t make much sense to buy someone [...]

  • By Paul Tomkins, Featured, Free, Transfer Debate, Transfer Price Index ©

    Posted on January 26th, 2014

    Written by Paul Tomkins

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    Transfer Records, and Why They Mata

    Transfer Records, and Why They Mata

    By Paul Tomkins. On Saturday, Channel 4’s Economics Editor Faisal Islam tweeted: “No one ever inflation-adjusts “record” transfer fees, do they? Sigh. #mata”. Except, of course, we do. In 2010 I joined forces with über-accountant and statistician Graeme Riley to create the Transfer Price Index (TPI), which converts football prices to ‘modern money’ (or what [...]

  • Chris Rowland, Featured, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on September 3rd, 2013

    Written by Chris Rowland

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    Liverpool’s Transfer Window – The Summary

    Liverpool’s Transfer Window – The Summary

    By Chris Rowland. So, it’s slammed shut then. Well, till January anyway. The consensus is that Rodgers, FSG, the Transfer Committee and LFC generally dun good. So before I go off to get my life back, I thought I’d produce this summary of all our activity and all the links, in and out, that I [...]

  • Chris Rowland, Featured, Subscribers Only, Transfer Debate

    Posted on August 30th, 2013

    Written by Chris Rowland

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    TTT Transfer Talk Tracker 24-30th August

    TTT Transfer Talk Tracker 24-30th August

    By Chris Rowland. The last full week – it feels like the end of term to me! The latest on ‘the next Steven Gerrard’, Derby County’s Will Hughes, is that his club has “slapped a £15m price tag on his head” (ClubCall Aug 25). I hope that’s not ‘literally slapped a £15m price tag on [...]

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